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Let's be clear on this: If TCU and Boise State both finish undefeated and all five of the BCS schools lose at least one game, neither one is going to play in the national title game in Pasadena. That's not an opinion, that's a fact.

Here's another fact: Only one of the undefeated non-BCS schools will get a BCS bid. There is now a likely scenario whereby Boise State, which beat Oregon soundly the first week of the season, will not play in a BCS game while USC -- which just lost to Oregon by 27 points -- might. Ohio State, which lost to USC and a horrible Purdue team, might also play in a BCS bowl. Iowa might lose to Ohio State and still get a BCS bid, and Penn State, which already lost to Iowa, could, too.