Okay, it's not the happiest of days for Gilbert Arenas, to appear before a federal judge and be sentenced. But the outcome is the best-case scenario for him, isn't it? Two years of probation and no jail time allows Arenas to be ready to play in somebody's summer league. Depending on Commissioner David Stern's mood, no jail time could allow Arenas to be eligible to be in an NBA lineup by opening night in late October or early November.
No jail time, not a single day, is something of an upset since the prosecution recommended a teeny bit of jail time. People who have tried cases before this judge have said they expected him to give Arenas 30 to 90 days. A month or two (or three) in the slammer wasn't going to prevent Arenas from playing basketball forever more. But no time spent in jail certainly looks better on the résumé than even 10 days. It allows Arenas to say to a prospective employer or endorser, "Hey, the judge in this case didn't think enough of this offense to give me as much as one night in jail."
Don't look here for outrage or for the argument that Arenas ought to have spent time in jail, because I don't see him as a threat or a menace to the community (and clearly, the judge didn't either). Had he gone for 30 days it wasn't like he was going to spend hard time in solitary confinement in Sing-Sing.