To project how this season is likely to pan out, The Wall Street Journal compiled an extensive database of statistics on all 120 major-college teams. The data included not only current predictors of success, like the high-school-recruiting rankings of a team's starters and how many starts its offensive linemen have made, but also numbers from the past five seasons regarding each team's experience level.
The latter data set, provided by college-football analyst Phil Steele, who publishes a popular season-preview magazine each year, revealed statistical trends, such as what percentage of returning players often leads to a successful (or painful) season.
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