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College Football Predictions Using Stats

AP Photo

To project how this season is likely to pan out, The Wall Street Journal compiled an extensive database of statistics on all 120 major-college teams. The data included not only current predictors of success, like the high-school-recruiting rankings of a team's starters and how many starts its offensive linemen have made, but also numbers from the past five seasons regarding each team's experience level.

The latter data set, provided by college-football analyst Phil Steele, who publishes a popular season-preview magazine each year, revealed statistical trends, such as what percentage of returning players often leads to a successful (or painful) season.

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