Trading Future Early NFL Picks Is a Bad Idea

Trading Future Early NFL Picks Is a Bad Idea

I know that some Patriot fans probably think that the Patriots trade just to trade, and that it doesn’t do any good if you never use them. Those with short memories, that is. The trade back has gotten them future picks that included Vince Wilfork (in the Kyle Boller deal) and Jerod Mayo (as part of Joe Staley deal). Those two deals by themselves should demonstrate the value of the New England strategy.

Monday, I talked about not liking the Saints and Falcons strategy of trading up by including a package that included future first round picks. That was based on more general data that included career values by draft position. I think people tend to respond better to concrete examples. I also wanted to see if perhaps teams that traded up and mortgaged the future were doing do because they were getting better value and were better evaluators (ummm, as you will see below, no).

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