Why Teams Shouldn't Trade Up

SB Nation

As the draft looms tomorrow night, NFL teams are (hopefully) finalizing their draft boards and trying to make plans for every conceivable contingency. Whether or not they want to trade, and in which direction, is surely one of those considerations. In the past two years, we have seen two monumental trades: Atlanta’s trade for Julio Jones, and Washington’s trade for (presumably) Robert Griffin III. There are sure to be more throughout the draft as teams try and select the players they covet most. One question looms large in this picture: do teams that trade up actually benefit from the moves they make, or do they pay too high a price for the right to choose? We’ll explore the answer to this question here.

Using my previous work on the NFL draft, we can...

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