RealClearSports
Advertisement

Baseball Prospecting an Inexact Pursuit

AP Photo

Bill James wrote a piece the other day about the possible difference between pitching and hitting prospects … and it reminded me of this project I've wanted to do for some time. I wanted to go back through Baseball America's excellent prospect handbooks and see how the best prospects turned out. How often do they succeed? How often do they fail? What is the biggest reason for failure? (I'd guess injury). What is the most promising sign for success? How often do "toolsy" players make it? How about "skilled" players?

Well, I haven't had time to dive into that the way I would like. But I did try something. I have all the Baseball America Prospect Handbooks going back to 2003 (with 2001 and 2002 on order). I picked a year at random -- I chose 2006 -- and decided to look...

Read Full Article »

Recommended Articles

Once MLB's No. 1 Pick, Now a Convict

Joe Smith, Tampa Bay Times - December 19, 2012

Matt Bush was once the envy of many as baseball's top overall pick in 2004, boasting plenty of potential and millions in the bank. But with Bush's alcohol problem and several related arrests rendering him broke, and after he... more »

Blue Jays Taking a Big Swing

Peter Gammons, mlb.com - December 19, 2012

Over time, things slid -- the novelty of SkyDome eroded, finances lessened -- but Toronto is Toronto, one of the great cities in North America. And with the emergence of Jose Bautista and an attractive team, attendance the last... more »

Red Flags Rise Over Pujols-Hamilton Duo

Joe Posnanski, Sports on Earth - December 18, 2012

Let's begin with an impossibly dumb question -- I'm talking about a question so stupid, so inane, so ridiculous that it will insult you even to see it in print. OK? And then, for fun, we'll try to shock you by somehow making... more »

MLB Walks Line on Padded Pitchers' Caps

James Wagner, Washington Post - December 18, 2012

Major League Baseball is hoping new developments in protective head gear can bridge the gap between equipment that makes the game safer for pitchers and that which those same pitchers will actually wear. After several... more »