From Jays to Marlins, Ranking the Winter

Rick Madonik/Toronto Star

It's the start of spring training in baseball, which means all 30 general managers can agree on one thing: They all had a successful winter. But which team improved itself the most?

The answer won't be known for months, but we can make an educated projection. The Wall Street Journal examined every off-season transaction and ranked each team based on how many projected marginal wins it added or lost.

he calculations were based on each player's projected wins above replacement (WAR), a statistic used to compare a player's value to the average Triple-A fill-in. The forecasts were made by Dan Szymborski, a sabermetric analyst whose projection system, Zips, is considered among the most reliable. It uses weighted averages of four years of data and adjusts for age...

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