I'm almost embarrassed to link to this...but I can't believe I spent Thanksgiving last year heaping praise on Brett Favre.
Actually, yes I can. The Jets were 8-3, and I really liked Favre - and he was the reason they were 8-3.
Unfortunately, he was also the reason they finished the season 9-7...and later proved the Jets were nothing more than a pawn in his little revenge game with the Packers.
And this Thanksgiving, I've changed my tune.
Favre and the Vikings, sitting pretty atop the NFC North at 9-1 right now, are going to the playoffs. There's no doubt about that. (I don't even have to put the 'even if they don't make the playoffs' disclaimer I had to put with the Jets last year, because the Vikings are that much more solid around Favre than the Jets were a year ago.)
But I am reiterating what I've said before - they're not going to win the Super Bowl.
The tricky thing with Minnesota is that they're in such a good spot right now that they can afford to give Favre some rest before the end of the season - though I doubt he'd take that opportunity (I think he takes pride in his ironman status). He'll be starting the rest of the year, just not finishing games.
It's a matter of how beat up he gets when he's in those games that will be key.
The Vikings have some tough defenses to face the rest of the way:
Chicago twice in a month (Nov. 29 and Dec. 28)
New York Giants
The Vikings' post-season success depends on how unscathed Favre makes it through those games. And even if he doesn't...now is the time we'll see how much life is left in that 40-year-old body.
Remember, the Jets were 8-3 at Thanksgiving last year. They went 1-6 the rest of the way.
We'll just see where the 9-1 Vikings finish. I'm betting it's not with a Super Bowl championship.