Warning - I absolutely do NOT have my finger on the pulse of the Jacksonville Jaguars.
When I think they'll play poorly, they shock me and find a way to win.
When I start to believe in them and think they have a shot, they go out and can't move the ball in, oh, I don't know, a 28-0 playoff loss.
And so I warn you - I have a very difficult time figuring out the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The way I feel about David Garrard is a reflection of how I feel about the Jaguars as a whole. I never believe that he can get the job done. But then he surprises me and more often than not plays well.
He has some good weapons, and I'll give the Jaguars that. Their most talented players are both on the offensive side of the ball (and both have hyphenated names, a coincidence I like): running back Maurice Jones-Drew and Mike Sims-Walker. Add to that mix wide receiver Troy Williamson, who missed almost all of last year with an injury, and the Jaguars have the pieces to put up some points.
Defensively, though, the Jaguars are a far cry from the team which used to be defined by its defense. The Jaguars recorded just 14 sacks all of last year, and saw the opposition rack up 30 or more points in 5 of the team's 9 losses.
But that's where the problem is - in all but one of those opponents' 30-plus-point games could the Jaguars' offense keep up - a 35-31 loss to the Colts. In most of their other games, 24 was the point threshold for the Jaguars (with the one exception being a 37-point explosion against Tennessee).
The Jaguars managed seven wins a year ago - I just don't look at their team and see anywhere close to seven wins again this year.
Unless, of course, like so many times before, I'm wrong about the Jaguars.
2010 Prediction: 2-14, 4th place in the AFC South