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Fantasy Football Maniaxs


September 11, 2009 9:27 AM

Titans/Steelers - What we learned (Fantasy Football edition)

From time to time, when we get to watch a game in detail, we'll post some of what we learned, either from an on-field perspective, or from a fantasy football perspective, or both. So here are some fantasy football insights from the season-opening game between the Titans and Steelers.

(For on-field perspective on this game, check out this post on www.footballrelativity.com.)

*We saw the downside of both Titans running backs last night. Chris Johnson should get at least 50 yards each week, even against the toughest defenses, because he'll bust at least one big play each week. (Last night it was a 32-yard run.) LenDale White, on the other hand, has very limited fantasy value unless he scores a touchdown. He'll score his share of touchdowns this year, but against tough defenses he should be benched in most leagues because he's not going to be a big yardage guy.

*Steelers WR Santonio Holmes has arrived. Holmes is a legitimate No. 1 receiver from a real football sense, and he's starting to take over for Hines Ward in that capacity for the Steelers. On my draft board, I had Holmes in the 20s among receivers, but this performance reminds me of his playoff run enough to say that Santonio is going to be a top-20 fantasy receiver this year. If you drafted him, you got a good deal. I thought Ward's numbers, on the other hand, were a little higher than they will usually be. He's more of a fantasy backup in most 10-12 team leagues this year. 

*Titans TE Bo Scaife is probably going to end up being between 10 and 15 on the tight end chart this year. I don't count on him scoring a lot of touchdowns, but if you're in a yardage-heavy leage or even a point-per-reception league, Scaife has more value. He's not an elite guy, but he's going to be productive.

*We saw last night what Tennessee's Kerry Collins is as a fantasy quarterback - 200-250 yards and a touchdown most weeks. Those are backup numbers. Ben Roethlisberger's numbers (363 yards and one TD) will probably fluctuate from week to week, but he does have some fantasy upside this year because he has better targets than he's had in past years.

*I have two guys in my office who executed the strategy of drafting both Willie Parker and Rashard Mendenhall for their fantasy teams this year. That's a dangerous strategy with this team. Although both will play, you can't start both because you could end up 25 total rushing yards, as they did last year. Parker is the starter, but he's not going to have a ton of 100-yard games this year, I don't believe. He's a borderline fantasy starter. I'm falling off the Mendenhall bandwagon. At one point, I had him as a top-75 player, but I don't like his running style, and he just hasn't looked special to me either in this game or in the preseason game I watched this year. He was playing a terrific defense last night, so I don't want to overreact, but it is time to sound the bust alarm on him.

*I don't buy Kenny Britt yet, but if he continues to play as a starter, he could end up being worth a spot on your bench. Justin Gage, on the other hand, is probably worth a pick-up in 12-team leagues and bigger. Gage is the No. 1 wideout, and he's healthy (which he wasn't last year). He probably ends up as a top-40 wide receiver, which makes him ownable.

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