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Fantasy Football Maniaxs


June 5, 2010 2:29 AM

Peaks and Valleys - Using Position and Age to Predict Fantasy

shonn_greene.jpgThe premise of the article looks at ages of players at various positions and at what age you can typically expect a player to begin peaking, as well as what age you can expect players to decline. It is a very valuable tool for fantasy owners to be able to predict where to draft certain players.

Most quarterbacks will rarely peak before 25 years old, and a number of them will have their best statistical season after their 30th birthday.

My general rule is that you rarely want to draft a quarterback that has less than three years of NFL experience (not starts, but service) and that you rarely want to go with quarterbacks that are older than 35 years old, unless it is a Brett Favre situation, where the player seems to defy his age on a consistent basis. That 25- to 35-year-old range seems to be the range where the biggest fantasy seasons come from.

 

Running backs, on the other hand, can begin producing as rookies.

I cannot even begin to count the number of rookies that had a 1,000-yard season as a rookie. It happens with extreme regularity. If you look at Tennessee Titans RB Chris Johnson, he led fantasy football in scoring at the age of 24 years old. Young running backs can put up huge numbers, but by age 30, they are usually looking for their pension checks.

Which 10 players should have a great statistical fantasy football season in 2010 based on peak ages?

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