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September 24, 2009 12:40 PM

NFL Week 3 Fantasy Studs & Duds

Each week Studs & Duds will take a look at the best and worst match-ups from around the NFL and choose 4 players that could mean the difference between fantasy success or failure.

Based on the scoring system established by Yahoo!’s Flames and Lames, Studs and Duds continues to roll at an above average level. Including nailing that risky Tom Brady as a Dud pick, S&D went 5-3 for the second week in a row bringing the season record to 10-6. Do you have some of your own Studs and Duds in mind? If so, put your picks and predictions (no explanation for picks necessary) in the comment section below and see if you can beat us at our own game.

Studs

Jason Campbell / QB / Washington Redskins - (vs. Lions) Campbell was one of last week’s stud picks that wound up being more dud than stud. In order to make up for last week’s failure, S&D has decided to declare Campbell as a super stud in week two against the extremely weak Detroit defense. The Lions have already allowed eight touchdown’s through the air this year and Campbell will have a field day throwing to his very capable receiving core. Detroit will be in this game the whole way, so the Redskins won’t rely on the run as much as you might think. That means more passing attempts for Campbell, which will in turn translate to a successful fantasy day.
Prediction: 24-35, 290 passing yards, 3 total touchdowns, 1 interception, 19 rushing yards

Donald Driver / WR / Green Bay Packers - (vs. Rams) The Packers will roll into St. Louis this week with a serious chip on their shoulder after their week two loss to the Bengals. Expect QB Aaron Rodgers to break out of his season long funk that has seen him struggle to produce like the top seven quarterback so many fantasy owners drafted him to be. Green Bay will be facing an awful Rams pass defense that’s allowed almost 260 passing yards per game through the first two weeks, and that can only mean there will be plenty of fantasy points to go around. Driver will play one of the largest rolls in the offense, as the Rams will likely double team WR Greg Jennings. That will leave Driver in single coverage most of the day. With his speed and illusiveness you can expect the yards to pile up quickly and the looks his way in the red-zone to be plentiful.
Prediction: 9 receptions, 96 receiving yards, 1 touchdown

Felix Jones / RB / Dallas Cowboys - (vs. Panthers) Although RB Marion Barber was seen participating in portions of Cowboys practice on Wednesday; don’t expect him to play much of a role Monday night even if he does play. That means Jones will likely get the bulk of the carries, and more importantly, a chance to finally showcase the skills that have had everyone Dallas gushing over him for the last two years. The Panthers currently rank 3rd against the pass in the NFL, but also rank a lowly 27th against the rushing attack. That means Jones will finally get a full games worth of chances to showcase his dazzling speed and agility against a pretty bad team. He’ll definitely break off some highlight reel runs, but he will also produces big numbers as a receiver out of the backfield. If he’s still available in your league, go out and get him. Don’t be surprised if his point total puts him in the top five of all running backs in week three.
Prediction: 23 carries, 106 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 46 receiving yards, 2 total touchdowns


Brent Celek / TE / Philadelphia Eagles - (vs. Chiefs) Celek and the Eagles go up against the Chiefs this week, and there’s no reason to think that the TE can’t keep up his amazing start to the year. Although they shut down the Raiders passing game last week, you can expect the Eagles to have a field day through the air especially with RB Brian Westbrook nursing an injury. In week one QB Joe Flacco had a career game against the Chiefs through the air, and TE Todd Heap was on the receiving end of 74 of his 307 passing yards and 1 of his 3 touchdown passes. That should tell you that Celek can easily produce as either a check down target or as a route running threat. However Andy Reid chooses to utilize his talents, there is no doubt that Celek will be a main target in the red-zone. Pick him up and play him if your regular TE has a tough matchup this week.
Prediction: 9 receptions, 75 yards, 2 touchdowns

Duds

Kurt Warner / QB / Arizona Cardinals - (vs. Colts) Warner bounced back from a rough first week to put up a very solid game in week 2. He set the NFL record for completion percentage by connecting on 24 of his 26 passes. However, that was against a very banged up Jaguars defense and this week he’ll be facing the number one pass defense in the NFL; the Colts. Although Warner has amazing weapons on offense, he won’t be helping many fantasy teams this week as he should struggle against the Indy D that has yet to allow a passing touchdown. Expect Warner to look his age in week three as the Colts roll to an easy victory against the defending NFC Champions.
Prediction: 21-37, 212 passing yards, 1 touchdown, 3 interceptions, 3 rushing yards

Vincent Jackson / WR / San Diego Chargers - (vs. Dolphins) Jackson has been the early pick for breakout player of the year for many experts. He’s put up very good numbers in the first two contests of ’09, but don’t expect the good times to continue. With defenses likely to pay more attention to Jackson now that he’s shown he can play, QB Phillip Rivers will likely look to TE Antonio Gates more often, who’s been relatively quiet in the passing game this year. If week two was any indication of what kind of defense the Dolphins can play, then there’s also another glaring reason as to why owners should bench Jackson this week. The Miami secondary shut down WR Reggie Wayne to the tune of just 3 catches for 37 yards. If they can shut down Wayne, who’s arguably the best receiver in the NFL, then Jackson is in for a long day. On the flip side of that, Miami allowed Colts TE Dallas Clark to rack up 183 yards and a touchdown on seven receptions. Which brings us back to the idea that Gates will steal a lot of the offensive thunder come Sunday.
Prediction: 4 receptions, 36 receiving yards, 0 touchdowns

Chris Johnson / RB / Tennessee Titans - (vs. Jets) Johnson had a monstrous week two against the Texans, likely single handedly carrying his fantasy owners to a win. Meanwhile the rest of the Titans offense seemed pretty anemic and wasn’t able to mount a comeback against the Texans. Although you may be on cloud 9 in love with Johnson right now, expect that to change after he goes up against the new and improved “Rex”ecutioners. That’s right, the New York Jets have taken new coach Rex Ryan’s inspirational words to heart and have stepped up to become what’s looking like one of the best defenses in the NFL this year. Johnson owners can expect him to have trouble getting anything going on the ground this week against a very tough run D, especially since the Jets will focus on stopping him with the rest of the Titans' offense having done little to impress. His only hope for a decent game in Week three will be if he can heavily factor into the passing game.
Prediction: 19 carries, 45 rushing yards, 7 receptions, 41 receiving yards, 0 touchdowns

Kellen Winslow / TE / Tampa Bay Buccaneers - (vs. Giants) So far this year Winslow has proven to be a great pickup for a struggling Tampa Bay team. He’s managed to grab a touchdown in each of the first two games, and has proven to be a reliable target for QB Byron Leftwich as he struggles to get things going on offense. Even though Winslow has been consistent so far this year, he won’t do much this week against a stout Giants D. The Giants were able to hold Dallas’ stud TE Jason Witten to just 33 receiving yards last week although they did let him haul in a TD. Don’t expect Winslow to have as much luck as the Giant linebackers will focus on shutting him down. The constant pressure the Giants’ excellent D-Line will put on Leftwich also contributes to this being a less than ideal matchup for the Bucs TE.
Prediction: 3 receptions, 24 receiving yards, 0 touchdowns

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