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November 19, 2009 1:45 PM

Pay Homage to Gamblor - Week 11

Week 10 shall be known as Running Back Injury Explosion week. Brian Westbrook and Ronnie Brown are out for the season; Michael Turner, Cedric Benson and Julius Jones all left the game last week, and may miss this week. These injuries seriously alter the future of not only their respective teams, but also that of anyone who owns them in fantasy.
  

As for the upcoming games, there are five with double-digit spreads this week and another three with spreads of nine or nine and a half. It appears the NFL is expecting a full slate of crappy action on Sunday. I will continue to ride the favorites, despite it not working quite as well as it did earlier in the season.

Last week: 5-9
Season: 72-70-1
Lock of the week: 7-3

Home team in CAPS

PANTHERS (-3) over Dolphins 

Unfortunately Ronnie Brown will not be playing in this game (or for the rest of the season). Dolphins games are a lot more exciting with him, although this could mean more Pat White, which is equally exciting, but I don't see the Dolphins winning game out without Brown.

LIONS (-3.5) over Browns 

This is the second time the Lions are favored over the perceived worst team in football, but the Browns are awful with no signs of positivity; they won't be able to pull out a win like the Rams did before them.

JAGUARS (-9) over Bills 

Interim coaches always do really well in the NFL. Right? Or am I confusing them with bears always winning fights with salmon?


Steelers (-10) over CHIEFS

Dwayne Bowe joke?
 

Colts (-1) over RAVENS 

In the Ravens' defense, they have only lost to really good teams. The Colts are a really, really good team.

Falcons (+6.5) over GIANTS 

Not sure how the Giants get favored by a TD after losing four straight games. I know that the Falcons are likely without Michael Turner and didn't look great last week, but this spread is still three points too high.

PACKERS (-6.5) over 49ers (LOCK OF THE WEEK) 

The Packers are the most inconsistent team -- who knows what effort they'll give each week But I don't see Aaron Rodgers throwing five picks. In fact, I see Rodgers sticking it to Alex Smith and the 49ers. Hard. LOCK OF THE WEEK

VIKINGS (-11) over Seahawks 

The Seahawks are quietly putting together an awful season and really struggle away from home.

Redskins (+11) over COWBOYS 

Sometimes Dallas looks like one of the worst football teams in the league. Let's all hope this is one of those days.

Saints (-11.5) over BUCCANEERS 

The Bucs are clearly improved with Josh Freeman at the helm and the Saints have been playing worse each week. Two trends that will end this week as the Saints put up 40.

Cardinals (-9) over RAMS 

Early season worries about the Cardinals should be thrown out the window. They will coast to the West title and third seed in the NFC playoffs. As for the Rams, I just really hope they trade Stephen Jackson. He deserves a chance to win before his career winds down, and he won't get it in St. Louis.

PATRIOTS (-10.5) over Jets 

If you don't think Belichick is going to stick it to everyone who is questioning him and win this game by a ridiculous margin you are incorrect. Sorry Jets, you are just in the wrong place at the wrong time.

Bengals (-9.5) over RAIDERS 

The Bengals have the easiest three game stretch of any team in the NFL over the next three weeks. Their opponents -- the Raiders, Browns and Lions -- have a combined record of 4-23 at the moment.

The Raiders finally made the switch away from JaMarcus Russell. Fun stat about JaMarcus: his highest QB rating this season is 85.4, not that bad. But then you have to consider the fact that it came in a 44-7 loss to the Giants. Don't expect Gradkowski to have much more success -- the Raiders are bad from top to bottom, not just at QB.

Chargers (-3) over BRONCOS 

With three straight losses, the Broncos are starting to show their true colors, which are whatever color "suck" is. I hope they are still somehow able to back into the playoffs, where thousands upon thousands of dollars will be bet against them.

Eagles (-3) over BEARS 

Jay Cutler is now being called the new Jeff George by many people, not exactly a title you want. But it's pretty true, the checklist -- good arm, bad decisions, anger your teammates and fans, born in Indiana, stupid haircut -- he's got 'em all.

Titans (+4.5) over TEXANS 

Chris Johnson is an absolute beast. The Titans won't quite get back into the playoff picture, but they will get people excited for next year.

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