People love to overreact to things, especially those who are forced to find new things to write about all the time. Thus, two weeks into the NFL season everyone is talking about trends as if they are going to continue for the season. Multiple articles have been written about the 'scoring explosion' in the NFL. Teams are scoring an average of 1.5 more points per game and averaging 33 more yards per game, and yes these numbers are significant, but don't you think two weeks is a little early for something to be called a trend? It's just two games; please wait until four before drawing any long term conclusions. Scoring may very well be up this year, but there is no need to rush to judgment. Tom Brady is not going to pass for 7,500 yards and Cam Newton is not going to pass for 6,800 yards. At some point the league will come back down to normal, or at least close to it and if it doesn't, start betting the over.

Another thing I've noticed early in this season - is it just me or does it seem like there are an inordinately high number of 1-1 teams? This of course in turn means people make more out of teams that are 2-0. The Texans, Bills, Redskins, and Lions have collectively played one decent team, not quite time to crown them yet.

Last Week: 8-6-2
Season: 15-13-4
Lock of the Week: 0-1-1

Home team in CAPS

49ers (+2.5) over BENGALS
Eight and a half pounds of marijuana was found at the home of Bengals WR Jerome Simpson. While eight and a half pounds is a very large amount of pot, I can't help but thinking during this investigation, "that's nothing compared to Nate Newton." When Newton was caught with 213 pounds of weed and then five week later found with 175 more pounds it broke the scale for what's considered a lot of pot.

Patriots (-8.5) over BILLS
While the Bills do lead the league in points, take a brief look at who they've played - the Chiefs, who at this point seem to be unable to stop anything; and the Raiders, who were playing across the country on a short week. Now they play a suspect Pats defense, so they will still probably put up nearly 30 points, but they'll also lose by two touchdowns.

SAINTS (-4) over Texans
LOCK OF THE WEEK
I still don't trust the Texans and at the same time am convinced the Saints are nearly unbeatable at home. If the Texans defense can keep the Saints under 22 points then I'll be convinced their defense is for real.

EAGLES (-7.5) over Giants
The Giants are faking injuries to slow down Sam Bradford and the Rams. This does not bode well for their future against any accomplished offense. The Giants defense is so bad that if Vick doesn't play, the Eagles might suddenly have a QB controversy when Kafka comes in and throws for 300 yards and 3 TDs. Of course the Eagles would never supplant Vick as the starter, but they would trade Kafka this offseason to the Dolphins for Brandon Marshall, Vontae Davis, and a second round pick somehow.

Dolphins (+2.5) over BROWNS
Has whoever favored the Browns in this game actually watched them play any football this season? They lost to the Bengals, who were starting a rookie QB for his first ever game, and beat the Colts, who without Peyton Manning look about as good as a new CBS sitcom (I know, we'll have two people who are very different and seem like they'd never get along, only they'll become best friends! Comedy Gold!)

TITANS (-6.5) over Broncos
Although this line is bigger than it probably should be I can't make myself bet on the Broncos. Does anyone else hope they keep rolling Tebow out at a new position each week? Last week they played him at WR, this week maybe they'll try him as TE, then safety, then long snapper, and finally, in week 17, give him a go at QB.

VIKINGS (+3.5) over Lions
If you haven't heard, this is the first time the Lions have been favored in Minnesota since 1981. Not ever in the Barry Sanders years, not even in 1984 when the Vikings finished 3-13. Not only are they favored, but everyone is picking them to win big. I say the Vikings still have Adrian Peterson, who averages 5.36 yards per carry against the Lions, and while this is a new and better Lions team, Purple Jesus will at the very least keep this game close.

PANTHERS (-3.5) over Jaguars
Rookie QB battle! If this were any other year that would be a huge indication to take the under, but Cam Newton seems to be for real and the Panthers defense loves to let up pass yards, so maybe not. By the way, in my prediction of how long before Gabbert became the starter I was a game off, predicting McCown would last only three quarters, he lasted a whole seven. Sorry for the lack of confidence on my part Luke!

CHARGERS (-14.5) over Chiefs
It's impossible for the Chiefs to be as bad as they've looked thus far in the season. However, they could still be the worst team in NFL history by far and be better than they've looked thus far.

RAIDERS (+3.5) over Jets
The Jets offensive line is banged up and their running backs aren't actually very good which means they'll have to rely on the arm of Mark Sanchez. Not that Sanchez can't get it done against Oakland, but the Jets seem due for a letdown. They got a gift from Romo against Dallas and if not for Luke McCown thowing nearly as many interceptions as completions in the worst quarterbacking performance so far this season who knows what would have happened against the Jaguars. The Jets are not as good as advertised.

Ravens (-4) over RAMS
For the record I think the Rams still have about a 40% chance of winning the NFC West after they fall to 0-3 here.

Falcons (+1.5) over BUCCANEERS
I just think Atlanta is the better team. Roddy White has been pretty quiet in the first two weeks and that is going to change at some point, like this point, here, in this game.

Cardinals (-3.5) over SEAHAWKS
Do you think the Seahawks are happy that the Chiefs and Colts are this bad because it takes away some of the attention they'd get for being awful? Or do you think they are upset because it means getting Andrew Luck is not a lock for them?

BEARS (+3.5) over Packers
The Packers are the better team, but they were still a 10-6 team last year that was prone to the occasional struggle during the season. Having trouble finishing off the Panthers last week it looks like they are still the same team, and the Bears are always dangerous at home (where they beat the Packers in week 3 last year, when the Packers were favored by 3).

Steelers (-10.5) over COLTS
You know how all the NBC football games have been really good so far this season? Yeah, well that stops now with a game that's over by the first quarter. BRING BACK JEFF GEORGE!

Redskins (+6) over COWBOYS
I'm a superstitious person and was going to keep picking against the Redskins until they lost a game, but come on! Six points to a team without its best receiver and with its second best receiver and top running back banged up? Also add in the factor that Tony Romo is one Brian Orakpo hit away from some sort of horrific lung injury.