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October 28, 2011 9:00 AM

Pay Homage to Gamblor - Week 8

Forgive me if things are a little hectic here. I haven't eaten in 20 hours due to a stomach bug so my brain isn't exactly firing on all cylinders right now. So before we get to the picks I have just a couple random thoughts.

I think the NFL should make the worst two teams playing on Halloween weekend play their entire games in costumes. I guess that would be the Vikings and Panthers this year. Now, I'm undecided if the players should be able to dress up as whatever they want to or if the players should be required to dress up as their team mascot. You'd have to think that would make things interesting. The armor would certainly give the Vikings an advantage in power, and in having weapons and/or shields, but it would also weigh them down allowing the Panthers, who I assume would just be wearing ears and tails a decided speed advantage. Unless of course it was required that they run on all fours like actual Panthers. Of course the biggest problem with this idea would be what to do every year the Browns were involved. No real costume to be a color, other than that this is a flawless plan. Although, the Browns could just take after their fans and wear brown paper bags on their heads. Their play couldn't get that much worse, could it?

Unrelated general Halloween note: Can we all agree that Halloween is the best holiday in the world from ages 18-25? Before that it's probably Christmas/whatever holiday you get gifts on and after 25 it becomes Thanksgiving (at least until you have kids who are between the ages of 3 and 10, in which case it is Christmas again during that time). I'm firmly in the Thanksgiving stage right now, but close enough to remember how awesome Halloween was in college and shortly thereafter.

Question: If you took a sign to a Lingerie Football League game that said, "You play ball like a girl" would that be considered in poor taste? I mean, it would be true and since we aren't 12-year old kids on a baseball field in the early '60s it shouldn't hold the same kind of weight. Yet, I bet you'd get in trouble if you did create such a sign.

Moving on to the picks where there are six games this week with a two score spread.

Last Week: 7-5-1
Season: 50-47-6
Lock of the Week: 2-4-1

Home team in CAPS

TITANS (-8.5) over Colts
Based on last week's performance this would actually be the Halloween costume game. Both teams were thoroughly embarrassed. But if Chris Johnson can't get it going against the Colts the Titans are going to start looking into just how much of that $53 million they can get back.

TEXANS (-9.5) over Jaguars
The Jaguars are coming off a close loss to the Steelers and a close win over the Ravens. Looking at the stats from those games it doesn't make a whole lot of sense. If they give the Texans as many chances and are as careless with the ball as they were against the Ravens, this game could be over by the end of the first quarter.

PANTHERS (-3.5) over Vikings
I don't see how the Vikings get points on the board without Peterson having the kind of week he had last week against Green Bay (175 yards). It's possible he could do the same in Carolina as they aren't strong against the run, but AP has been significantly better at home this year. Even with Purple Jesus going I'm not sure they can match Cam Newton score for score.


Saints (-13.5) over RAMS
Yeah, the Saints are suspect on the road, but the Rams have yet to cover the spread in a single game this year AND Bradford is likely not playing again. I'm not picking the Rams at least until they cover (or next week when they play the Cardinals).

Thumbnail image for Lock of the Week.jpg

RAVENS (-12.5) over Cardinals
Lock of the Week

Another big favorite I have to pick. The Cardinals haven't won since week 1 (at home against a rookie QB in his first game) and seem completely lost on the field. The Ravens at home meanwhile are the best team in the AFC. Yes, they are capable of playing beyond awful on the road, but at home against the Cardinals. No way they don't win by 15+.

GIANTS (-9.5) over Dolphins
Ugh. At this point I think I'm just going to take all the favorites and see where I land. The Giants are one of the more overrated teams in the league, but the Dolphins seem to have already quit on the season. And yes, the last time I trusted the Giants to cover a big spread they lost to the Seahawks.

BILLS (-6) over Redskins
Well this one is easy enough to justify. The Redskins are probably the most injured offense in the league. They are missing five offensive starters to injury. Add that to the fact that their defense has gotten progressively worse each week and it will be easy to see them losing by double digits.

Lions (-3) over BRONCOS
In retrospect, could that Miami-Denver game have gone any other way? If Tebow pulls out this game maybe I'll start believing, but more likely I'll be shocked at Tebow winning a game throwing for 112 yards simply because the Lions fumbled the ball 4 times and suffered 9 injuries letting the legend of Tebow continue to grow.

Patriots (-3) over STEELERS
After playing a slate of creampuffs the Steelers are 5-2 and have people talking about them as one of the best teams in the AFC again. Their best win of the season is over the Titans at home, they can't hang with the Pats.

49ERS (-9) over Browns
It's possible the Browns are the worst 3-3 team in the history of life. They have wins over Indy, Miami, and Seattle. That Seattle game by the way was even more boring that I could have imagined, simply mind-numbing. The only way the 49ers don't cover is if they get comfortable in a super slow paced run game and win 9-3 or something along those lines.

Bengals (-3) over SEAHAWKS
How can you bet against Andy Dalton? Wait, let me rephrase that, how can you bet on Charlie Whitehurst or Tarvaris Jackson?

EAGLES (-3.5) over Cowboys
Both the Eagles and the Cowboys have outgained their opponent in every game this season, yet they are a collective 5-7. That means this game could be a battle of who can make the most mistakes, and if you are betting on mistakes you always bet on Tony Romo (which means betting against him really).

Chargers (-4) over CHIEFS
The Chiefs didn't actually do anything good in that shutout of the Raiders. They pretty much stood there and let Kyle Boller and Carson Palmer throw balls into their arms. As bad as Philip Rivers has been playing and Norv is at coaching, they aren't going to gift the Chiefs 14 points and six turnovers.

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